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UFC Fight Night 196 – Paulo Costa vs. Marvin Vettori, Fight Analysis, Prediction

Saba Sozashvili
20 Oct 2021
17:18
Event
UFC Fight Night 196 – Paulo Costa vs. Marvin Vettori, Fight Analysis, Prediction

On October 23, UFC Fight Night 196 will take place at UFC Apex in Las Vegas, Nevada. The headlining of the event will be a middleweight clash between Brazilian KO artist Paulo Costa and Italian Dream Marvin Vettori.

Both fighters have suffered failure against current champion Israel Adesanya. However, they are still fighting for the opportunity for the title shot.

Costa has not fought for more than a year already. His last battle was against The last stylebender, and he suffered a second-round KO loss against him. Before fighting Adesanya, Costa was undefeated with 13 victories and zero losses. In the UFC, he earned five victories, and 4 of them via KO/TKO. The only unanimous decision victory he has against “The Soldier of God,” Yoel Romero.

Bet on Paulo Costa vs. Marvin Vettori with 1xBet

The last 2 losses of Marvin Vettori are against Israel Adesanya. After suffering the first loss against him, he earned 5 victories in a row. Most of them via unanimous decision. He is an fantastic grappler with great striking. His previous bout was against the champion, where he suffered a unanimous decision loss. However, he defeated amazing BJJ artist Jack Hermansson and spectacular Tae Kwan Do fighter Kevin Holland in a row. He proved that he could trounce strikers and grapplers.

Vettori will open this bout as the favorite. His odds are around 1.7. however, I don’t think that Vettori got this fight. I think it is tough to take Costa down and control him on the ground, and as usual, Vettori’s game plan is to do that. Costa has amazing kickboxing and a Black belt in BJJ, so I think Costa will earn KO victory in this bout. We have to consider that Vettori’s all 5 losses are via unanimous decision. Adesanya fought him twice but could not finish him. Still, I think that Costa got this via KO, and let me tell you why. Adesanya is a smart fighter. He knows that if he goes and pushes Vettori with strikers, Vettori might take him down, so Adesanya was fighting outside and earning points.

Bet on Paulo Costa vs. Marvin Vettori with 1xBet

 Costa will not be afraid of takedown because of his skills on the ground. He will go forward and throw punches, and in this kind of 5 rounder battle, someone should fall.

Costa’s victory has the odd around 2.3, but early victories odd is around 3.0. I think that both are great odds for Brazilians.

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