New England vs Atlanta

This is a prime smash spot for the Patriots, who do their best work against bad teams and when they are in quality form. The Pats are 26-10 against the spread against losing teams and 21-8 against the number off a win of 14-plus. The Falcons are just 1-5 against the spread on grass and lack the offensive firepower to go with New England. The Patriots can sense the AFC East is back up for grabs and the coaching advantage they possess in this game should not be discounted. Twice Atlanta this season have been held to six or fewer at home and another dud on home turf looks to be on the cards.

• Recommended Bet: New England -6.5
• Advice: Bet down to -9.5